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  2. PRMIA Certification
  3. 8010 Exam
  4. PRMIA.8010.v2022-03-04.q88 Dumps
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Question 71

Which of the following risks and reasons justify the use of scenario analysis in operational riskmodeling:
I. Risks for which no internal loss data is available
II. Risks that are foreseeable but have no precedent, internally or externally III. Risks for which objective assessments can be made by experts IV. Risks that are known to exist, but for which no reliable external or internal losses can be analyzed
V. Reducing the complexity of having to fit statistical models to internal and external loss data VI. Managing the capital estimation process as to produce estimates in line with management's desired capital buffers.

Correct Answer: B
Explanation
All the reasons and risks presented above are valid reasons for using scenario analysis, except V and VI - ie, the need to reduce the complexity of calculations is not a valid reason for using scenario analysis. Similarly, making operational risk capital estimates match management's desired capital allocation targets is also not a valid reason. Capital calculations are intended to provide adequate capital for managing the risk from operations, regardless of what management may desire them to be.
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Question 72

The probability of default of a security during the first year after issuance is 3%, that during the second and third years is 4%, and during the fourth year is 5%. What is the probability that it would not have defaulted at the end of four years from now?

Correct Answer: D
Explanation
The probability that the security would not default in the next 4 years is equal to the probability of survival at the end of the four years. In other words, =(1 - 3%)*(1 - 4%)*(1 - 4%)*(1 - 5%) = 84.93%. Choice 'd' is the correct answer.
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Question 73

Concentration risk in a creditportfolio arises due to:

Correct Answer: C
Explanation
Concentration risk in a credit portfolio arises due to a high degree of correlation betweenthe default probabilities of the issuers of securities in the portfolio. For example, the fortunes of the issuers in the same industry may be highly correlated, and an investor exposed to multiple such borrowers may face 'concentration risk'.
A low degreeof correlation, or independence of individual defaults in the portfolio actually reduces or even eliminates concentration risk.
The fact that issuers are from the same country may not necessarily give rise to concentration risk - for example, a bank withall US based borrowers in different industries or with different retail exposure types may not face practically any concentration risk. What really matters is the default correlations between the borrowers, for example a lender exposed to cement producersacross the globe may face a high degree of concentration risk.
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Question 74

When fitting a distribution in excess of a threshold as part of the body-tail distribution method described by the equation below, how is the parameter 'p' calculated.

Here, F(x) is the severity distribution. F(Tail) and F(Body) are the parametric distributions selected for the tail and the body, and T is the threshold in excess of which the tail is considered to begin.

Correct Answer: D
Explanation
p = k/N. If there are N observations of which K are upto T, then p = k/N allows us to have a continuous unbroken curve which gets increasingly weighted towards the distribution selected for the tail as we move towards the 'right', ie the higher values of losses.
The other choices are incorrect and mostly nonsensical.
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Question 75

Which of the following is not a tool available to financial institutions for managing credit risk:

Correct Answer: B
Explanation
Collateral, limits to avoid credit exposure concentrations, termination rights based upon credit ratings, third party guarantees and credit derivatives are all tools or instruments that financial institutions use to manage their credit risk. A cumulative accuracy plot measures the accuracy of ratings, and is not a tool for managing credit risk. Therefore Choice 'b' represents the correct answer.
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